Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.192188 0.218972 0.247737 0.280880 0.317963 0.358126 0.404865
2025-11-16 0.153103 0.188096 0.228212 0.277432 0.336013 0.403312 0.486280
2025-11-23 0.125944 0.165248 0.212926 0.274655 0.352056 0.445455 0.566206
2025-11-30 0.109159 0.151823 0.206218 0.280020 0.376807 0.498596 0.662495
2025-12-07 0.093938 0.137891 0.196550 0.279601 0.393016 0.541166 0.747752
2025-12-14 0.081866 0.126324 0.188208 0.279298 0.408327 0.582623 0.833482
2025-12-21 0.072244 0.116796 0.181282 0.279662 0.423753 0.624404 0.921542
2025-12-28 0.065339 0.110292 0.177739 0.284058 0.444571 0.674297 1.023286
2026-01-04 0.060145 0.105694 0.176355 0.291153 0.469343 0.730803 1.137286
2026-01-11 0.054611 0.099821 0.172275 0.293466 0.486664 0.776977 1.238337
2026-01-18 0.050496 0.095772 0.170569 0.299113 0.509140 0.831715 1.354738
2026-01-25 0.047291 0.092883 0.170383 0.306991 0.535367 0.893295 1.484478
2026-02-01 0.042545 0.086840 0.164535 0.305325 0.546612 0.933129 1.584354
2026-02-08 0.038467 0.081531 0.159410 0.304362 0.558794 0.974986 1.689639
2026-02-15 0.034786 0.076519 0.154286 0.302856 0.569760 1.015261 1.794316
2026-02-22 0.032611 0.074198 0.153824 0.309563 0.595221 1.080688 1.943492
2026-03-01 0.029821 0.070276 0.149940 0.309573 0.608677 1.126421 2.061870
2026-03-08 0.027317 0.066637 0.146222 0.309498 0.621802 1.172060 2.182108
2026-03-15 0.025136 0.063418 0.143003 0.310040 0.635944 1.220001 2.308420
2026-03-22 0.023593 0.061431 0.142073 0.314943 0.658459 1.283761 2.465284
2026-03-29 0.022446 0.060212 0.142609 0.322772 0.686954 1.359566 2.646907
2026-04-05 0.020934 0.057938 0.140673 0.325335 0.705277 1.417583 2.799025
2026-04-12 0.019841 0.056546 0.140511 0.331545 0.731096 1.490601 2.981609